Lung-diffusing capacity for carbon monoxide predicts early complications after cardiac surgery Abstract Purpose Preoperative pulmonary dysfunction has been associated with increased operative mortality and morbidity after cardiac surgery. This study aimed to determine whether values for the diffusing capacity of the lung for carbon monoxide (DLCO) could predict postoperative complications after cardiac surgery. Methods This study included 408 consecutive patients who underwent cardiac surgery between June 2008 and December 2015. DLCO was routinely determined in all patients. A reduced DLCO was clinically defined as %DLCO < 70%. %DLCO was calculated as DLCO divided by the predicted DLCO. The association between %DLCO and in-hospital mortality was assessed, and independent predictors of complications were identified by a logistic regression analysis. Results Among the 408 patients, 338 and 70 had %DLCO values of ≥ 70% and < 70%, respectively. Complications were associated with in-hospital mortality (P < 0.001), but not %DLCO (P = 0.275). A multivariate logistic regression analysis with propensity score matching identified reduced DLCO as an independent predictor of complications (OR, 3.270; 95%CI, 1.356–7.882; P = 0.008). Conclusions %DLCO is a powerful predictor of postoperative complications. The preoperative DLCO values might provide information that can be used to accurately predict the prognosis after cardiac surgery. Clinical trial registration number UMIN000029985.